Welcome to the prediction for the upcoming face-off in Match 38 of IPL 2024, where Rajasthan Royals (RR) will clash with Mumbai Indians (MI) at the Sawai Mansingh Stadium.
The Royals appear to be in formidable form this season, topping the points table with 6 victories and just 1 defeat, boasting a positive net run rate (NRR) of 0.677. On the other side, Mumbai have struggled, sitting 9th with only 2 wins against 4 losses, and a negative NRR of -0.234.
Historically, the head-to-head count slightly favours MI with 16 wins to RR's 14. However, at this venue, RR have dominated with 6 wins compared to MI's 2.
As per stats reveal MI has an equal number of wins (8) batting first and second while RR has shown a strong preference and better outcomes when chasing, with 11 wins batting second against their 3 when setting a total.
RRβs edge is amplified by the presence of top bowlers like Chahal and Ashwin, whose combined experience in taking wickets and maintaining economical rates is especially effective on spinner-friendly pitches.
The betting tip is...
Team with top bowler - RR
Current form: WWLWW
Jos Buttler has amassed 734 runs in 19 innings at this venue, boasting an average of 45.88. Sanju Samson follows closely, having scored 651 runs in 20 innings with a strike rate of 144.03.
Riyan Parag, with an impressive average of 41.00 and a strike rate of 152.11, has accumulated 289 runs in just 9 innings, contributing to the team's combined total of 58 sixes at this ground. Yashasvi Jaiswal, not to be overlooked, has tallied 223 runs with a strike rate of 149.66.
On the bowling front, Yuzvendra Chahal leads this season's wicket-takers with 12 wickets in 7 matches and has a historical total of 14 wickets in 11 matches at this venue, maintaining an economy rate of 7.88.
Trent Boult also stands out among pacers with an economy of 7.37 across 7 matches, taking 7 wickets. The venueβs conditions favour spinners, suggesting that RR's spin contingent will likely have a substantial impact in the upcoming game.
Buttler, Samson and Parag are in the top 10 runs scorers of the season.
Predicted Lineup: Jaiswal, Buttler, Samson (c & wk), Parag, Hetmyer, Jurel, Ashwin, Boult, Avesh, Kuldeep, Chahal
Current form: LLWWL
At this venue, Suryakumar and Rohit, each have significant run totals of 414 and 408 respectively. They are closely followed by Ishan Kishan and Hardik Pandya, who have contributed 286 and 220 runs.
This batting lineup, known for its power-hitting capabilities, has generally overshadowed their bowling unit, except for Jasprit Bumrah, who stands out with 10 wickets this season and a tally of 17 wickets against RR.
In the spin department, Shreyas Gopal, who has experience playing for both teams, has secured 15 wickets at this venue with an economical rate of 7.35, earning him a spot over Piyush Chawla as the primary spinner considering both form and venue statistics.
Additionally, Gerald Coetzee has been impressive this season, claiming 9 wickets, just one shy of Bumrahβs tally, underscoring the potential impact of MIβs bowlers in the upcoming match.
The bowling unit will step up in this match.
Predicted Lineup: Rohit, Ishan (wk), Surya, Tilak, Hardik (c), David, Nabi, Romario, Gopal, Bumrah, Coetzee
In this match between RR and MI at the Sawai Mansingh Stadium, expect a departure from the high-scoring dramas of this season. The pitch conditions favouring spinners will likely slow down the pace of run-scoring.
Despite Mumbai Indians' potential resurgence, leveraging their strong batting lineup and capable spin options, Rajasthan Royals' superior form and adeptness at this venue, particularly their prowess in chasing as seen historically, position them as the favourites.
Anticipate a hard-fought contest, but ultimately, RR are predicted to secure a win, maintaining their top spot in the standings.