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AustraliaAustralia
152/10 & 132/10 - 110/10 & 178/6
EnglandEngland
England won by 4 wickets
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Australia vs England Prediction, 4th Ashes Test

Australia will come into the fourth Test at the MCG with the Ashes already secured with an unbeatable 3-0 lead. This is Australiaโ€™s fourth straight home Ashes series win, a streak that started in 2013-14. On every occasion, Australia have sealed the urn by winning the first three Tests. They will also carry momentum, winning their last 5 consecutive Tests.

The Boxing Day Test at the MCG is the biggest fixture of the Australian summer. Conditions here usually reward discipline with the ball and patience with the bat. Australiaโ€™s ability to adapt across sessions will again be a key factor in this match.

England will come into this game under pressure. Their last Test win in Australia came in 2011 at the SCG. Since then, they have gone 18 Tests without a win on Australian soil. England have not won any of their last 5 Tests, with 4 losses and 1 draw.

Australia have produced more consistent run-scorers across the series, with multiple centuries and fifties from Head, Carey and Khawaja, while England has just one from Root.

The betting tip is...

Top Batter's Team - Australia

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Australia vs England Official Lineups

AustraliaAustralia
Steven Smith
Mitchell Starc
Usman Khawaja
Michael Neser
Scott Boland
Travis Head
Alex Carey
Jhye Richardson
Marnus Labuschagne
Jake Weatherald
Cameron Green
EnglandEngland
Ben Stokes
Joe Root
Ben Duckett
Brydon Carse
Josh Tongue
Zak Crawley
Harry Brook
Will Jacks
Jamie Smith
Gus Atkinson
Jacob Graham Bethell

H2H Last five matches

Australia
3
Draws
2
England
2

Best odds

Australia
England

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Australia Team News

Australia will come into the Boxing Day Test with 6 straight Test wins. Pat Cummins will miss the rest of the Ashes despite returning in Adelaide, as he will rest with the series already sealed. Nathan Lyon is also out for a long time due to surgery for his right hamstring injury. Jhye Richardson and Todd Murphy are the replacements.

Steve Smith is expected to return and lead the side in Cumminsโ€™ absence, subject to clearance from his inner-ear issue. Alex Carey will carry a strong form after scoring 106 and 72 in Adelaide.

He will have 743 runs in his last 10 matches at an average of 53.07. Mitchell Starc will again spearhead the attack with 22 wickets in this Ashes at 17.04 and 51 wickets in his last 10 Tests. Scott Boland will support him after taking 27 wickets in his last 5 Tests.

W
20-02-2026
Australia
108/1
Oman
104/10
VS
T20I
L
16-02-2026
Australia
181/10
Sri Lanka
184/2
VS
T20I
L
13-02-2026
Australia
146/10
Zimbabwe
169/2
VS
T20I
W
11-02-2026
Australia
182/6
Ireland
115/10
VS
T20I

Australia Lineup Prediction

Head, Khawaja and Carey are the key batters.

Predicted Lineup: Jake Weatherald, Travis Head, Marnus Labuschagne, Steve Smith (c), Usman Khawaja, Alex Carey (wk), Cameron Green, Michael Neser/Jhye Richardson, Mitchell Starc, Todd Murphy, Scott Boland

England Team News

England will be under heavy pressure. Joe Root has a weak record in Australia. He has played 17 Tests down under without a win, the second-most by any player in one nation.

He has been part of 15 defeats in those matches, the joint-most for a visiting player. Despite that, he brings 4 Test hundreds in 2025 and 2 fifties from 5 Test innings at the MCG.

Ben Stokes has scored only 69 at an average of 17.25 in 4 innings, while Zak Crawley will be the only other current squad member with MCG Test experience, where he scored 12 and 5 in 2021. Changes will be likely after Ollie Popeโ€™s scores of 3 and 17 in Adelaide. Josh Tongue will push his case after taking 4 wickets in the second Adelaide innings.

L
05-02-2026
India
253/7
England
246/7
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T20I
W
05-02-2026
England
161/6
New Zealand
159/7
VS
T20I
W
05-02-2026
England
166/8
Pakistan
164/9
VS
T20I
W
05-02-2026
Sri Lanka
95/10
England
146/9
VS
T20I
W
05-02-2026
England
202/7
Italy
178/10
VS
T20I

England Lineup Prediction

Root, Stokes & Bethell are the key batters.

Predicted Lineup: Zak Crawley, Ben Duckett, Jacob Bethell, Joe Root, Harry Brook, Ben Stokes (c), Jamie Smith (wk), Will Jacks, Gus Atkinson, Jofra Archer, Josh Tongue/Shoaib Bashir

Australia vs England Betting Tips

Australia will go into the Boxing Day Test with a clear batting edge. Travis Head will carry strong form after scoring 170 in the last Test, his second century of this Ashes. Alex Carey will also be full of confidence after his maiden Ashes hundred and 2 fifties in the series. Usman Khawaja will add stability after scoring 82 & 40 in Adelaide.

Australiaโ€™s depth with the bat will stand out, with even Starc contributing 2 fifties, the same as Crawley and Stokes, and more than Pope, Brook & Duckett. Englandโ€™s batting will rely heavily on Joe Root, who has scored their only century so far. With more consistent run-scorers across the top and middle order, Australia will dominate the game with the bat at MCG.

Australia have produced more consistent run-scorers across the series, with multiple centuries and fifties from Head, Carey and Khawaja, while England has just one from Root.

The betting tip is...

Top Batter's Team - Australia

Aditya Dara

Aditya Dara

Cricket Betting Expert

My name is Aditya Dara and I am the Cricket enthusiast of CricketExpert.net. Growing up in Hyderabad I have been an SRH fan all my life. I have 5 years of experience in betting on cricket, especially on IPL and matches of the Indian national team. I love writing about cricket related subjects and giving tips for cricket predictions on many different leagues. Keep an eye out for my content if you are interested in cricket betting.


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